It’s all over the news, we’ve all heard about it. Now they are predicting no more rate rises and cuts on the horizon which means more inflation. I’m seeing a few people say more liquidity being pumped into the system and that it’s a good time to buy hard assets i.e. gold/silver, RE etc. But I wanted to ask some of the more knowledgeable folk on here what you’re thinking?
(Sorry for short posts! I’m on phone but wanted to generate some discussion about this)
did you really need to create two consecutive insubstantial articles ?
these barely warrant being comments let alone stand alone pieces
Cunt, my laptops dead and off getting repaired. They are totally different subjects so warrant a thread on each. How about you go in the other one and post everything you think is wrong with the data so we can all laugh at you for being a bootlicking cocksucker.
Neither of them warrants anything you stupid faggot
they have already been discussed ad nauseam
Aren’t you in a lovely mood as usual
I haven’t been here for weeks but sure as ever here is coming, constantly fucking whining. You’re a fucking middle aged Karen. You should just fuck back off to Macrobusiness, it’s clear you fit in more over there.
i like coming
So when are you writing an article on something worth discussing?
After your brain transplant?
Cooker
go back to pooistan you horrible lane crapper
That’s a neatly laid pile of shit right there. Something to be proud of.
apparently squat pooping is the only way to properly empty bowels and it positively affects general health.
in other news…
That’s what being forced to live alongside diversity does to you.
No more rate rises means stagflation I would have thought for the next 12 months?
Protect the wealthy from further asset write downs from further rate hikes (gives the Fed an off ramp) and screw the poor again as usual, SVB would be a nice pretext for that.
DLS wrote an article in news.com.au saying there will be no more rate rises. Funny how becoming a mortgage broker taints your articles.
But I agree with you. Poor will be screwed and we’ll get back to transferring money from the poor to the rich.
you’re kidding, dls a house tankie?
Embee started a loan comparison service.
Would’ve thought more of their readers were on the Don’t Buy Now/permanent renter brigade, so it seemed like a strange choice. Then again, might as well get in on the grift.
TINA!
IMO a lot of what is happening now is premature. Investors have been looking for an excuse for a pivot but I doubt this is it. Europe kept on raising rates after a similar bond swap arrangement last year.
I expect US Fed might only raise 0.25% (instead of 0.5%) just to gently let everyone know that it is not a financial crisis, and there is still an inflation problem to be solved.
I’m with Freddy.
folks that think that this signifies the peak are probably getting ahead of themselves.
because it isn’t THIS that the fed wanted broken. Unfortunately THIS gave way first. So they’ll more likely look to fix THIS and continue tightening in order to break whatever they had originally intended.
Yes. History shows the central banks will continue to hike rates too far right into a recession ” because the alternative is worse”
The 10-2 year is negative 0.5% now the most negative it’s been since the 1980s!
But – given where asset prices are now, will this be allowed?
As recently as a year ago getting even this far was crazy talk.
The plan was to break the little guy. They actually want unemployment to rise and people to lose jobs and houses.
The plan was never to upset big business or the venture capital community. Hence why they are being made whole.
That’s what I was goign to say, probably parroting you or something else I read. I wonder if we read the same thing!
Agree.
Bank of England has also kept hiking after that pension crisis a couple of months back. So I think the pivot bros are in for a surprise.
It looks like they’ve lost control of inflation now. They can’t control is without system wide banking collapses. I guess you want your money in precious metals, commodities, oil, bricks and motar.
This is my initial reaction also but then central banks, this time, need to do the opposite to what they’ve done every other time which is hike rates too far right into a recession.
Also SVB was heavily involved in start ups it seems so at least in theory it’s not suggestive of a more systemic issue but the same thing were said pre GFC so let’s find out eh
I think you’re correct. They try to elegantly break it and cause mass layoffs to the right people and bring rates under control, removes systemic risk.
The yanks giving another free kick to China. Easy peasy now for global economic supremacy now.
30 years now it will be sad little Australia the bag holder made into the Cuba of the Pacific by the Chinese.
If the yanks controlled the manufacture of Adblue, you could imagine how they would have wielded this over the past two years if you were their enemy.
If the yanks controlled the manufacture of Adblue, you could imagine how they would have wielded this over the past two years if you were their enemy.
lmao
well, yes. but they’re not.
instead of having to grovel for adblu, we’ve paid our tribute of $300b (will be more of course) in a different way.
so the tribute still gets paid one way or the other.
again, it’s not a bad thing, it’s just the way it is.
personal preference is to be aligned to the yanks rather than the chinese
Either Australia does what the US wants and signs up to a terrible military deal, or Albo goes the way of Whitlam and a more sycophantic arselicker is found to replace him. Luckily for Albo though he is already the biggest arselicker there is so of course he signed up. https://consortiumnews.com/2023/03/15/caitlin-johnstone-australias-real-fear-isnt-china/
that’s a decent writeup, but I think that I put it more concisely than Caitlin Johnstone did.
also, as to this moralising:
Caitlin can go and live in China, if it’s so awesome and she loves it so much.
Yes. She conveniently ignored the increasing ly belligerent behavior exhibited by that country over the past decade.
It blows my mind really that after several decades last century fighting communism, that our largest trading partner is a communist dictatorship. You really can’t make this stuff up.
Anything for a quick buck eh..
Forgot to mention what she is correct about is does Australia actually have a plan for when we are forced to significantly reduce trade with China? I would imagine it’s unlikely this could be achieved without significant short term economic pain
of course. the plan is for the government of the day to blame the previous government for not making EZFKA ready for this development.
then, we lower teh rates and open the gates wider to subcontinental and African inward migration.
we’ve basically had a dress rehearsal for this recently in connection with covid
exactly. if you actually think about it, the only positive thing about China is that we get some profits from trading with it. nothing else.
if there were no profits there – eg China were another North Korea – nobody would think twice about nuzzling up close to the US to make sure were safe from them.
China has not been communist for many decades..
https://www.google.com/search?q=communism+definition
This is actually an accurate assessment of the USA foreign policy and military expansion since the end of WWII. Wars in Korea and Vietnam, multiple USA military bases in the area (South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Australia), constant projection of power around the globe via aircraft carrier groups – yes, that makes countries nervous. Those that can stand up – do, those who can’t are not really in position to remain neutral.
China was a backwards country until the 80s. Then politicians and businessmen in the USA decided that cheap and plentiful labour resources made China a great option to relocate a large part of the US (and European) manufacturing base. This has developed China’s manufacturing capabilities to where it is the manufacturing hub of the world, and leads the world in GDP (if you discount the fact that the US’ GDP includes a lot of financials, or non-productive assets).
This allowed China to lift something like 400M people out of poverty (maybe more), modernise its military, given the US military build-up in the region over the decades, and advance its technology to space exploration, hypersonics and other various areas that the USA are now lagging.
As far as belligerence exhibited by China over the last decade, the only example that I can come up with is its expansion in the South China Sea, building up artificial islands and claiming territorial waters around them. That whole area is a convoluted mess, with multiple countries claiming the same waters as theirs, and relying on the USA to enforce their own ambitions. China in its current state is the creation of the USA, with Chinese leadership using it to their benefit, which you have to at least acknowledge and respect.
The whole Taiwan issue is being escalated by the USA and its closest allies – UK, Australia. UK is now selling weapons to Taiwan. US generals openly talk about coming war with China. This has so many parallels with the Cold War era, where the collective West used this to enrich its military-industrial complex. Or the post 9/11 decades, where the global war on terror was used for the same purpose.
I am no lover of China, but one has to look at history to get a better picture, not just the latest headlines. USA has been the aggressor in every single war for the last 30 years, except, maybe, Yemen. China has not started anything. USA has a long and proud history of exerting its will across the world, starting wars, overthrowing governments and usurping countries’ natural resources. They do it via 2 means – USD as a reserve currency, and protecting this currency via its military power. Last two dudes who decided to sell oil in other than the US dollars were S. Hussein and M. Kaddafi. We all know what happened to them.
As far as fighting communism, the collective west is now more communist than China. Yes, they have one party and no opposition, but at least they are not two-faced about it, unlike the uni-parties in the USA and here, where right wing and left wing are presented as democracy and freedom of choice but it is the same damn bird!
https://d2z65klgtz99km.cloudfront.net/AWN/emergency_briefing_031323/index.html
For those that care, a decent summary.
Nil surprises
https://summit.news/2023/03/14/israeli-banks-transferred-1-billion-out-of-svb-before-collapse/
Look after your fellow…
nothing will come of this
Except for 30 million John Adams tweets claiming the end of the world.
boring shit like all the banking convesation that happens here
I actually think that the banking conversation that happens here is top notch.
the EZFKA.com mob actually had the causes of the failure AND the likely Fed response all digested and worked out several days before the details were announced and the various public commentators started putting out their digests and briefings.
I was impressed by what I read here. Some smart people here. Thank you
Did that guy catch the big fish he was talking about and spent $50k of his own money pursuing? I’m assuming no. What a nut. Haha. Sucks to be a bear fuckin loser. Ie me.
The Holy Crusade Against ASIC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bMjovemKSe8
Nah, a good excuse to line the pockets of oligarch friends with taxpayer dollars. Never waste a good crisis.
yeah cuts fer sure…..can’t have this
https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/total-value-dwellings/latest-release
SVB crisis… wut krysis?
Balls galore
(impossible to see sumtin similar in this pond):
21 going 91
Average life expectancy in AD400 was approx 40with almost all cause of death being infection and sword. No heart failures.
Where the sheep…
Creative
FAFO I guess
https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/berenson-v-biden-is-coming-very-soon/comments?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=363080&post_id=108378986&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email
Nice types. Let’s bring in hundreds of thousands more.
All six have been charged, with police alleging the group abducted and then physically abused a 26-year-old man who was detained against his will for ransom.
The men arrested and charged are: Viliami Siasau, 19, Valali Tonga, 20, Sunia Siasau, 20, John Totau Fahamokioa, 20, Lolo Liavaa, 19 and Kitueau Tatafu, 21.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11860475/Belmore-Sydney-kidnapping-Man-allegedly-teeth-ripped-police-storm-suburban-street.html?ico=related-replace
The landlord was showing off their spare bedroom that was up for rent and stipulated that only “non-ethnic” people should apply.
I am utterly baffled as to the definition of a “non-ethnic” person.
1. Does he means being an Australian is actually not an ethnicity?
2. Does he mean he wants mixed breed people only?
@Drago
this is the product of violent video-game-like culture as peddled by the Libtards. Like hyenas, they come in packs, attack in packs therefore should be incinerated in packs.
Brace for more…
Islanders worst race on earth
at least they will not hijack you, keep you alive to sell your organs to astute westerners.
im starting to believe that the internet is the single worst thing to ever happen to humanity
just simply because one may have unlimited access to coke, one should not begin to abuse the good predicament and snort the life out of themselves. When in small doses, everything can be quite beneficial.
Social media would be without a doubt. I have not regretted closing my social media accounts.
I’ve been thinking the same for a while. The west peaked around 2000 imo and it’s been a downward trajectory from there which coincides with internet becoming more widespread and more powerful.
SVB is making news headlines, but the more serious economic issues are virtually unreported. There has been a large increase in credit card debt. The previous time this happened was prior to the GFC. Also an increase in autoloan delinquencies. But alas, these only affect working class and SVB is for the wealthy woke, so the news and policies will be directed towards them.
Interesting observation. Makes me want to sell the remaining block shares I own, which I probably shouldn’t have bought to begin with tbh
US CC debt I take it? Would really appreciate a link
Yes, US CC debt. Couldn’t find the exact article, but this is close enough and has a chart with growth at the bottom
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/ticking-time-bomb-rising-consumer-debt-and-rising-interest-rates
Applications for consumer credit ie credit cards and personal loans have grown strongly in Australia too
https://www.equifax.com.au/knowledge-hub/news-and-media/consumers-turn-credit-cards-cost-living-increases
every likelihood this happens
https://www.tradefarmmachinery.com.au/industry-news/2303/abares-tips-$90-billion-production-output
“We shall soon be in a world in which a man may be howled down for saying that two and two make four, in which furious party cries will be raised against anybody who says that cows have horns, in which people will persecute the heresy of calling a triangle a three-sided figure, and hang a man for maddening a mob with the news that grass is green.”
G.K.C
That’s the world we’re in now. You can lose your job for saying that men aren’t women. FFS.
“Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron’s cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.” -“The Humanitarian Theory of Punishment,” in God in the Dock
Why Chinese and Indians are the perfect neighbours, why your house will go up in value when they move into the area, why first nation and legacy Australians suck.
Is that per capita?
Effectively per capita, as I read it
Thanks. yeah, It’s easier to read after clicking on the bloody picture!
what is “australian local” though
the one thing i always hated about how the abs collects this kind of data is how they never truly differentiate by race, lumping a lot of people into a big category called ‘australian’ that could be anything
therer needs to be clearly defined racial categories
You’re not going to get racial categories.
the meaning of “local” shouldn’t be hard to work out though. It’s 67% of the population – so most likely represents those born on the continent.
yeazh but what % of ‘australian local’ is white
I don’t know. What do you reckon?
this is the only evidence i can find
i’m not sure how accurate it is
So, are you going to put your body where your mouth is and move to Tassie, then?
/coming
i think im going to move to st helena
In another 50 years it will be the only place left on the continent that will be recognizably Australian.
ive heard its full of middle class numpties
It’s Australia’s Massachusetts.
Generally the most desirable places outside of the uber rich ones like Mosman are 50% white and 50% Asian. The Asians take the edge of whities narcissism and ego. But if you get too many like in Eastwoo and Ryde its just gross. Go to Macquarie Centre on the weekend you feel like you’re in a Beijing train station.
mosman etc sucks
therers something that depresses the shit out of me for that habour side area it doesnt feel like a place you can live in
disney land esque
I know what you mean. Bunch of white people larping as top tier when they are jewy af. As for looking at the harbour you are just visiting a neighbourhood you’ll never afford. Overrated af. If I got rich I’d live somewhere more down to earth where people know their shit stinks. Or maybe I’d have fun shitting up Mosman and lowering the tone. Dunno.
i wouldnt mind living next to some shit airport like brisbane or adelaide airport. i dont know why living next to ana irport would be kind of cool
The Castle type of cool?
The fucking Lebo’s must have good lawyers. Those cunts are the worst crims in the country. There should be millions of them in jail.
Financial Repression Will Dispossess the Masses.
Destruction of the middleclass.
The way to crush the bourgeoisie is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation.
Vladimir Lenin
Wonderfully vibrant. Growth industry with albos Indian deluge.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11861707/Balesh-Dhankhar-allegedly-drugged-raped-five-young-women.html
Go long brothels
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11861877/Channel-Nine-presenter-Davina-Smith-breaks-Italian-restaurant-owner-goes-business.html
this obese fuck could reduce his cost of living by putting down the fork
Holy fuck, he is the ugliest fucker I have ever laid eyes on. I’d be crying too just being made to look at him.
The Emotions Conveyor (I can’t use the word Journalist) did her job perfectly, blubbering up at the end of it…. we now know that we are meant to sympathize with his plight – poor guy, here have sympathy, he’s obviously having a bad time because of this:
Better import some more Nepalese to cook his “Italian” food and wait on tables in his “Italian” restaurant for the authentic “Italian” experience, all at slave wage levels so the blubbering bitch giving interview can still afford to eat there.
As always the SMH obfuscating the punch-line:
He was fucking Indian.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/fake-job-sedatives-a-hidden-cam-sydney-man-accused-of-serial-rapes-20230315-p5csed.html
I’d bet he has been dealing in cash for a long time too, making a “loss” while he pays the car loan on the Lambo.
lol there was a huge thread on reddit ausfinance talking about how immigration is responsible for a lot of the bad things ppl in aus complain about, it got like 1000 posts and a huge number of upvotes etc but its been mysteriously deleted
Kind of like this one, the media isn’t interested either. It’s almost like there’s a narrative to be followed until the public fall in line.
Anyone else pull money out of SVB before it collapsed?
I read an unconfirmed report that the CEO, CFO et al had collectively dumped millions of dollars worth of shares in the week or so prior to things going pear shaped.
And paid themselves a nice bonus, IIRC
Apparently $78M went to BLM affiliates
Reddit was bought by some time ago by the Newhouse family. Look after your fellow…. is it really surprising that they would censor any discussions around immigration or any other topic that their cultural values oppose?
All that it takes to change society is powerful men using their wealth and influence to spread their truly held values, and suppress or oppose those values they oppose.
SMH is basically the Women’s Weekly at this point:
First up we have a Vagina owning Doctor, Elizabeth Oliver, who claims at being emotionally exhausted in having to deal with…. patients!
According to the author the problem is that male doctors are not becoming as irrationally emotionally invested in their patients, while executing their primary function – providing medical services – which means that they don’t burn out listening to other Neurotic women claiming about their neurosis, and are thus unfairly able to withstand the demands of…. being a doctor
https://www.smh.com.au/culture/tv-and-radio/i-m-a-gp-ted-lasso-s-comments-to-his-therapist-are-where-the-comedy-stops-20230315-p5cs6w.html
Then with vagina owner Dana McKay a so called tech reporter, in reality a modern day Luddite with a Feminist twist, who laments how terrible it is that technology can be used in inappropriate ways:
Oh noes! Someone saying something mean to someone else on social media is so stressful for my neurosis
What is our vagina owners solution? Why mandating to get more women into leadership roles, like they occupied at SVB where the gay, black, female leader focused on the most critical risk in Finance at the moment – Lack of Diversity rather than say, Interest Rate Risk:
https://www.smh.com.au/national/male-made-technology-is-ruining-women-s-lives-we-need-a-bumble-revolution-20230306-p5cprr.html
Honestly, while there are many women with worthwhile opinions who compete more than adequately with male colleagues, the unfortunate fact is their positive contribution to society is more than outweighed by all the other vagina owners, like the authors of these two articles, making their inability to deal with the stresses of working life a problem for everyone else.
I had a 40 year career in advanced engineering. I was, for a while, a card carrying member of the “let’s employ female engineers” club. I left that club after almost every female engineer I recruited or worked with turned put to be a complete fucking disaster and utter, utter pain in the arse. Male engineers are an odd crew at the best of time. The autism is strong in most of us. Combine that oddness with typical female neuroticism, anxiety, narcissism and Christ knows what else, and you have a recipe for a train wreck every time.
The world would be a much better place if there were no female engineers. Or degenerate transgender perverts as well, but I digress.
My issue is less about women having a voice, and more about women having an unopposed voice – where those who push their particular narrative are allowed to do so uncritically. Where the only wrong do’ers in the world are men, and woe betide any man who criticises a woman.
Honestly I don’t think I’ve read a single article in the SMH that has EVER criticised women as a group, yet every day I read numerous stories (if I can bothered) where the ills and travels plaguing us today are all directly or indirectly laid at the feet of men.
A force, once set in motion will continue unopposed until it meets resistance. It is about time these continued poor-me I’m female narratives met some resistance. Honestly if read another article of some vagina owner claiming to be exhausted dealing with residual sexual discrimination that is so small you’d need a microscope to detect, then I’ll be at risk of going postal.
It is an insult to men and it is an insult to all those women who get on with life. There are fuckwits from the sexes – people are fuckwits. The purpose of these stories and neo-cultural values, is as always, to disempower any voice that might oppose life in the Longhouse which is where we’re headed back to.
“get on with life”…this is the essence of the marxist lie. “Getting on with life” does not mean working all the hours of the day to make more money as an employee, it means making babies as raising them to adulthood so that they can do the same. It is power hungry lust driven femmos and homos that don’t get this and somehow everyone else got on the train with them. It is a daily source of grief to be so unproductive myself and then to watch my people disappear in the country that should have been our children’s, and then to know that so few seem to think this is a problem. A people that behave like this, believe this rubbish, do not stand up, are a people that deserve to die off. Femmos and homos are parasitic…they cannot reproduce except by recruiting the damaged children of the rest….and ensure a enough damage is done to increase the supply.