So, I just got back from holiday with the family to this email from a very well politically connected ex-colleague in the legal circles down in Canberra:
“As we were talking about the other day regarding the federal court Pearson decision, I have learned that Immigration Minister Andrew Giles is allegedly planning to give permanent residency to asylum seekers in Australia just before Australia Day.
Apparently, Home Affairs are now frantically trying to get people out of detention centres (which also might explain the federal court decision not being challenged by Giles so far in the High Court to my knowledge) because they anticipate boat arrivals from people to trying get here to do the same thing and are trying to make space for them. Makes you wonder what those quarantine centres were really built for.
We’re going to get our own taste of Europe and the southern border of the US. Unreal.”
The Pearson decision he is referring to is a recent federal court decision before Christmas where a judge has released a whole bunch of criminals that had their visas cancelled back into the community, over her personal interpretation of the word ‘aggregate’. It’s an appalling decision that I will write up shortly, but Labor have done a very good job of keeping it out of the media even though it’s public knowledge.
You can go read the decision here, I’ll break it down legally later.
Anyways, I have no way of confirming what he’s talking about but I have heard similar rumors for few weeks prior to Christmas that Giles and Clare O’Neil were planning this. The ALP have held to their end of the bargain about not talking about immigration prior to an election as usual and we’ve all seen the announcements about numbers.
Then, I saw this in the SMH:
“An Australian maritime patrol has intercepted a new boat attempting to travel from Indonesia to Australia – the second such bid in a month after a three-year lull.
Six Indian nationals and four Indonesian crew were turned back on Thursday from Australian territorial waters at Ashmore Reef, about 600 kilometres north of Broome.”
Indians now trying to claim asylum. You’d think the Afghani Muslims complaining in the article would be ‘safe’ in Muslim Indonesia but alas, the public welfare is not as good and the Fairfax press love a good migrant sob story.
This says to me that word has already gotten out and they’re testing the waters to see what the Minister would do and if it’s genuine about PR.
Usually, recruitment has a good guide as to what is about to happen so I had a glance at the Home Affairs website and look at what they’re recruiting for:
A lot of Maritime/boat stuff. I have no idea what the recruitment is like but generally this is a good leading indicator.
My take: Boats are coming again very shortly in my opinion.
There are tens of thousands of these protection visa types in the community, most of their claims are frivolous but they’ve played the usual game of using the AAT and the appeals system to their advantage and made some lawyers rich.
PR means these people have access to Medicare, public services and can sponsor others to join them in Australia. This is going to crush what’s left of our public services especially our hospital system and the NDIS. Not to mention all the crime and social cohesion problems that are going to get worse.
It also means they’re harder to get rid of in terms of visa cancellation.
To keep this in the economic confines of this blog, then imagine if you’re a young Australian hit with rental shortages, flat wages, unaffordable housing and the rest and now told you’re going to have to share your shrinking part of the pie with more people from Africa and the Middle East.
Hope I’m wrong, but unfortunately, I doubt it.
Guest article from barrister Mark who has served a sentence of over 20 years in the legal world including migration and criminal law