Things are getting exciting.
Like really quite exciting. Not in the good way for a number of reasons.
This is very interesting because this was not supposed to happen for a few weeks.
While the Russian, or to be more specific Russian + LPR + DPR forces have been expected to win since mid-March, the speed of the collapse in Lisichansk is unexpected.
Even more hilariously, Lisichansk is a highly built up area, not that different from the Ruhr region of Germany. Lots of small industrial towns with big interlocking factories creating a complex ecosystem – that is, highly defensible territory.
What does such speed mean? As Alexander Mercouris below says, the clown-puppet actor Zelensky’s regime was talking up the defense of Lisichansk hours after it fell.
This means there was probably no order per se from Kiev to retreat, the Uki army was simply broke and the Russians have taken all of Donbass.
So what happens next? As Military Affairs says below, the next obvious defensive line for the Nazi’s is Slovyansk-Kramatorsk-Kostyantyanivka-Bakhmut.
Here is the problem, its low lying territory, and if Uki’s could not hold Lisichansk, the Uki’s will not be able to hold Kramatorsk either. Kramatorsk is where the Uki command centers conducting the war in Donbass are located.
Once that line falls, i.e. in a matter of weeks or sooner – two things happen.
First, the Russian rail network is now good from the hinterland into the front line, and there is no chance of disrupting it unless NATO comes in with an air dominance play. That is, the Russians will be able to bring more of their heavy toys into the battlefield.
Expect to see the T-90 Armata’s come into play, and the Su-57 has already been sighted in the skies above the Black Sea, mostly playing an electronic warfare role and supporting the Black Sea Fleet out of Sevastopol.
Then expect moves to take Kharkiv and Odessa.
Second, after Kramatorsk falls, there is nothing until the Dnieper. In the south, there is Nikolaev, and in the north there is Kiev. That is, most of the middle of Ukraine is empty. So the 1st Tank Army Guards will come out to play and the Russian advance will become very very quick.
The Russians continue to win pretty comprehensively. And NATO has no ability to beat them even with all their toys. Bullying Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Serbia etc is one thing. Going after a near peer is another.
The reality is Russia could take NATO in Europe, easily, and the Russians have just realized that fact.
This is where things get interesting. No one seriously doubts the outcome of the war in Ukraine, which is already seen globally as NATO’s proxy war for expansion.
The problem with waging proxy wars of expansion is, you really don’t want to loose them once your cover is blown.
So the problem for NATO/EU grifters is, how to spin this as a victory? Seeing as its rapidly coming apart.
They are desperate, so are doing dumb things. Like provoking China.
And annoying people in Kaliningrad – Ukraine War: All Eyes On Lithuania As Sanctions Close Russia… | MENAFN.COM – and for some especially retarded reason, in Svalbard – Russians in Arctic face Norwegian blockade — RT Russia & Former Soviet Union.
These are the actions of desperate people. Of stupid and desperate people.
And to make it particularly exciting, are trying to build an Asian NATO – China warns against ‘Asian NATO’ — RT World News.
That is, things stand at a knife edge.
Now, there is no chance Asian NATO will happen, simply because Western Europe cannot afford it. Practically speaking, USD/EUR should be at .80 and USD/GBP should be at parity.
That is how badly the Euro-weenies have fucked themselves.
How Does This Effect You?
As it all spins out of control, assume more crazy from central banks, governments and assorted security forces.
Keep your head down, batten hatches and maybe store up on canned goods. This winter in Europe is going to be bad, and no one has any confidence the Fed will raise rates enough to actually stop inflation.
When will it end?
My suspicion is the Dems will pull the 25th on Biden in a last ditch effort prior to the mid-terms, but America could well be at civil war by then. Who knows.
Look after your family, cut costs and keep your head down. Covid, monkey pox, all sorts of degeneracy will be pushed by the machine in a desperate attempt to keep the narrative together, as reality falls apart.
You / your family just need to survive, don’t worry about doing much more as this crisis reaches its apex.
Sorry – I wish the news was better.