I donโt know what it is, exactly, but I felt it. I thought I should let you blokes know.
Iโm afraid that unless they take steps to fix it soon, there will be significant drama.
Thatโs it, thatโs the post.

I donโt know what it is, exactly, but I felt it. I thought I should let you blokes know.
Iโm afraid that unless they take steps to fix it soon, there will be significant drama.
Thatโs it, thatโs the post.
It will be fun watching some or most of those astute investors go tits up in the process, until the gov.au nosedive into saving the RE
That’s it, that’s the reply
Donโt put your popcorn on yet, it will go soggy. Itโs a big market, likely to move very slowly.
even if I am exactly right, it will probably be quite a long time before anyone goes tits up spectacularly
I’ve given up on popcorn, now only daydreaming.
I can only wish you’re prophetically roight, for the sake of Australia
is it iran? no way are markets being realistic about the oil future price right now. i see no gapping down of the spot to match the future if something doesn’t change soon – and it’s not looking like it will. so we’ll get a cascade of rate increases to ward off the coming inflation and maybe even some migrant departures / reductions in global population flows and houses are cooked. but that’s just a theory.
No, I donโt think that itโs Iran as such. I canโt put my finger on it.
You could call it โfeelsโ for now.
I think it’d be crazy not to discount it as contributory. Everyone is still delusional about the impact the strait continuing to be closed will have on global econ
The fuel shortages from the Straits of Hormuz closure is the external event. At the moment it appears much ado about nothing with fuel prices around $1.80 for petrol. But this is the calm before the storm. If fuel needs to be rationed that will sink confidence and the economy. June should be the time that we know the true fuel situation.
And to think some of us here have been waiting for this to come since way back 2011 on macrobusiness. Will DLS do a victory lap and make a post about being right?
Noice, quite apt!
(at last someone fresh with some sense of humour)
Haha, quite.
He has a hyphentated surname. David-faggot, whatever. shitdick-cuntfucker. There are hebrew versions of this but have been banned since Speilberg became big.
Potentially. LOL.
I agree with the overall sentiments here that ‘something is probably going to give’, but there have been so many scenarios where I thought that would be the case here, but we seem to continue to defy gravity.
For instance, 2008 financial crisis, lead to the FHOG and inflated property bubble. We also had the mining boom and China to save us.
Remember in 2019, when property prices were decreasing in Sydney and Melbourne by about 3 per cent? The following March 2020 Covid hit. The Liberal party then abandoned all of their economic rhetoric and standards and implemented MMT by stealth. Also during covid,.remember the suspension of insolvency laws? Whereby companies could trade while insolvent for a whole year without declaring themselves as such? Remember Martin North’s friends in insolvency firms who were inundated? What happened? The only thing I can think of that was big at that time was Porter Davis Group going under due to increased supply costs, despite having half a billion of forward contracts for new homes? Nothing else of note happened?
Throw in the Ukraine war next. Feb 24 2022. OMG European Gas cut off. No fertiliser! Etc. Etc. Four years later, tens of thousands dead and a US government that cannot extricate themselves from the situation…and for what?
October 7 2023. Take it away Stewie.
Here we are now, 40 years of Stewie’s favourite demographic finally getting the war with Iran they wanted and Iran performing significantly better than expected. Strait of Hormuz blockaded on their orders. And what now? US power projecrion limits have been realised for the world to see? What will be the outcome?
I have a naturally bearish disposition and other bears like Stephanie Pomboy, Marc Faber, Scott Hennigsen, Martin North are not crazy people. But they all assume some sort of economic orthodoxy where bubbles pop and stocks and asset prices deflate.
Maybe the entire system is rigged?
I realised after the GFC that the entire system is rigged and it would never be allowed to fail:
Appropriate that a jew wrote it.
I bought a house at the next opportunity just as prices started to move again in 2012.
You almost don’t need to even think anymore when there is a financial crisis, just buy risk, any risk the moment the panic in the papers hits the front page for more than a couple days.
If it helps, Leonard Cohen is anti Zionist, but I take yohr point.
Stewie u old impotent cnt! ๐
You know I agree. The question remains how best to hedge and when.
+1
Now is probably a good time to talk about realistically hedging. I said in previous comments that I think Australia is going to feel the effects of the fuel crisis more than other countries. Every big corp in Aus is going to use it as an excuse to push up prices, further worsening cost of living and inflation. I know other posters here disagreed but I guess thatโs what makes this place better than the usual echo chambers.
maybe not hedging as such, but a good uncorrelated asset or negatively correlated asset could be the US stock market. Firstly youโre short AUD and secondly youโre long USA.
both these things are good if I am right about houses at this time. Firstly they will let the AUD take a bunch of the pain, secondly USA is kickass.
shit like shorting CBA is a different risk level. I wouldnโt go there.
US stocks sounds sensible and easy to lever into as well. The robot revolution is on track to hit in 2027. Will that boost US stocks more than AU stocks? Seems likely to me, but hard to say for sure. The automation of everything will create plenty of opportunties everywhere for the well prepared.
BTC looks to be firmly above $75k now.
When EZFKA started and we broke away from MB, then covid hit and many of the bears (me included) were left wondering why they housing bubble didn’t burst. It’s inevatible it will come down at some stage because it can’t double every 7 years into infinity. That made me realise back then that crashes are all orchestrated and I said on here a few times that it would only crash when the powers that be and banks were on the right side of the play.
Maybe we should be looking for indicators like if there’s been a recent spike in politians selling off their investment properties for example?
It literally can because infinity immigrants and infinity money. Are you literally gay and from the eastern bloc.
Hahaha youโre literally a cuck, meaning a closeted faggot ๐
sure it can go to infinityโฆ I stand by my stance, there is a tipping point. If the country is flooded then the currency will be the equivalent of Zimbabwe or Venezuela and it will look like those hell hole landscapes too. I know the average Aussie is a pussy but even they have a tipping point. We are seeing some of that now with immigration being openly spoken about with anger. Even Aussies will tolerate it to a point.
the infrastructure wonโt take much more to snap. I know because I worked inside hospitals and wife in education and the services were crumbling back then. Itโs only gotten worse thanks to bringing in more units. I guess my family of 4 left so they can bring in a few more.
how about Sydneyโs water supply. 20 years ago it dropped to 30% and they were shitting themselves. Theyโve brought in more bodies so youโre betting on them bringing in infinity?
itโs easier to see how bad a spot the country is looking from the outside in and either the bubble bursts eventually or the entire country will be scenes of a third world country but you canโt have both
Wot. If everyone country prints then there is no inflation. Retard. All boats rise in a sea of piss.
Lol the water has been 100% for ages.
Dumb cunt.
With all due respect dictator of fat bitches that like KFC.
In regards to Sydneyโs water supply, it is not just the warm bodies, but now the data centres that will dry up the water supply. The worldโs driest continent is the third biggest builder of data centres. Our elite are just evil.
Good idea. Probably easy to automate the monitoring of politicians’ (state and federal) register of interests with deft prompt of Claude.
Does anyone here have Claude Max?
There was still liquidity then, there is no liquidity now. They cannot raise
I learnt during that period they always have levers to pull. Regardless of what you or I think is just or morally correct. The crash will one hundred percent be manufactured and the banks and elite will be on the right side of the play. They just want the average unit to think it was a black swan while they slip out the back door. Thatโs just my feelings on it and thatโs what Iโll be looking for.
“Wealthy Businessmen” and their ‘Institutes’ haven’t yet managed to fracture Australia as a cohesive social entity enough yet, it needs more diversity least some social, cultural awareness as to what is taking place triggers a united response…. it is getting close though.
Real living standards have fallen back to around 2013 – with the energy crisis unfolding now I think we are likely to see another significant round of living standard declines taking us back to 2008.
Harry Triguboff and the rest of his ilk want us and those they import to replace us, living in apartments – there are still too many people living in houses and Californian bungalows.
The banks will be protected and median house prices in Sydney probably stand a better chance of being around $10m and notions of ever owning them outright long since abandoned by the imported consumer units. IMHO only political violence is likely to stymie this as the likely outcome.
Cut I mean sorry
Thatโs true but on the flip side I hadnโt thought of until now is that rents are out of control along with rental demand. So there could still be more air to go in the bubble yet. I think property investor loans are at or near ATH currently if Iโm not mistaken.
Yup – agreed. The media play a major role in obfusciating the crisis or underlying issues to the crisis, downplaying the events in order to allow those who are on the receiving email list for the msm agenda of debatable topics (or are astute enough pay attention to the insiders), time to exit the system. Only then is the crisis allowed to break.
I think we are in one of those periods now, where the crisis is built into the system with the energy supply shock and the media are instead doing their “calm blue oceans” thang while the insiders exit.
Yeah 100% the msm media all get their โstoriesโ from one overseeing peak body in Australia. They all write from the same script and then anything that resembles journalism outside of that is only allowed subjects for example ABC reporting the tobacco wars. Stopped watching msm over Covid and none of the shit they report even exists in my own real world bubble.
Same here. I havenโt watched MSM since Covid.
Most news stories are press releases from Big Corporation/Government or some social media trend.
Syd and Mel house prices now falling, but rents still going up.
https://www.smh.com.au/property/news/extreme-mismatch-sydney-rents-at-record-highs-pushing-tenants-further-out-20260420-p5zpjz.html
“We now have record-high rents and a record-low vacancy rate”
Prices were already far above the median wage, now median wagers are locked out and they are bidding up rents. Rental yields rise as prices fall, and as yields approach interest rates, houses will catch a bid.
BUT if pressure drops, then rents drop, house prices drop (ie it’s a ponzi scheme). That happens if unemployment rises quickly. AI driven humanoid robots roll out next year might do it.
Rents go up because people are renting to rent… 5 bedroom family homes are being rented out by the room.
Rents will continue to rise while immigrant scabs continue to be imported.
Yep, those 1544 people that arrive from India every day have to pack in somewhere, when you have 20 or more in a 5 bed house you can afford to pay more rent than a single aussie family
The S&P is so overvalued what are you on about, that’s just a other bubble looking for a pin at the moment
What would have happened if we let the Ottomans have Beersheeba? Idk I’m too dumb. Would you have been able to hedge your house into ETFs and shit?
Lest we Forget. Your divvies and gibs.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_udGcKMhbtc&t=455s
You have posted so much drivel lately there is no way in hell I’m going to click one of your links.
Your anglophile shit isn’t get much traction either dipshit.
House hedgers be like
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18GS1zsIvwg&list=RDGMEMloCJr0whxmhUCIkaMY7iOwVM18GS1zsIvwg&start_radio=1
Dogshit cunt.
And yet more drivel. No clicks from me.
I clicked on a few but had nfi so stopped clicking.
Rsrher than a collapse in house prices, I suspect price rises will grind to a halt, and there’ll be a long period…perhaps decades…of price stagnation as wage rises and inflation eat everything.
In 7-8 years time a graduate salary will be $100K+ and a loaf of bread will cost $20.
This was my expectation in the past. Not sure anymore. I’m not convinced the metamanagers are as in control as they thin or we imagine.
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance, eh? ๐
I really can’t see big end of town allowing a full blown house price crash if they can possibly avoid it, because it would fuck everything. All that paper “wealth” in house values would disappear, along with everything else, and goodbye to western liberal democracy in Australia.
Whether they have enough kitchen sinks (or Indian invaders) to throw at the housing ponzi to keep it rolling is the key question.
Plenty more in the tank.
40 year mortgages becoming normalised.
Super for house deposits.
10-15 year interest only periods.
Reduce interest rate servicing buffers.
Large property funds beginning direct investment in residential property as per the USA.
Etc
Surely irrelevant, except the last one, if employment and wage growth don’t hold up.
Given that the government is now a mortgage insurer and on the hook, they will not want house price decreases. Admittedly they have advertisements in Punjabi and Arabic for the 5% loans.
“All that paper โwealthโ in house values would disappear, along with everything else, and goodbye to western liberal democracy in Australia.”
I don’t think that is impossible, and depending on how it is done, liberal democracy might not be missed much at all.
I am overdue to contribute to this subject with an update on my only post to date, the death of the sub $250k housing market.
Which, in short, is now dead per the parameters I set in that post.
Yeah this is dead on accurate, even for units it seems to be true now but it’s been true for houses for some time. Perusing Realestate.com.au the central SA coast (port pirie, port augusta, whyalla etc) was the last domino to fall. average house price in dubbo is now seemingly 700k.
Mining towns and sub 5k population towns are all that is left now which I clawed out from my forecast and even then, not for much longer.
Mt Isa and Broken Hill are all that’s basically left for towns with any size
Honest Whyalla 3 bedroom half duplexes went from $150k to $230k in the blink of an eye. Freestanding $250k to $320k.
You nailed the Whyalla market that was the last true hidden value in Aus
Broken Hill is a value trap I think its price growth has plateaued now
Port Augusta also, it too has been a target of buyers agents and has seen prices grow even more than Whyalla
Mt Isa is fantastic value presently $250k 3 bedroom standalone houses that are pretty tidy.
Broken Hill is up at least 20% since I made my post also, I believe some buyers agents are in town.
I don’t think it’s a value trap although I has my concerns previously about this.
I see housing there as a big gold bar of sorts that will keep grinding higher over time, and is essentially an inflation hedge if nothing else. Also the major mine there is a silver mine which in turn as a commodity is another inflation hedge, underpinning the stability of Broken Hill Mines.
In other words when everything else has grown and the gap between most other places and Broken Hill is too great, the Hill will rubber band upwards.
It’s also an easy and lazy target for Sydney investors that don’t want the hassle of interstate investment.
The day markets like dubbo approach 1m valuations for bog standard houses is the day i tap out of australia entirely
BH seems questionable to me due to its declining population but specufestors probably won’t stop until every market is inflated and there is no value left, even in places that show no signs of reversing their decline
Mt Isa is hell on earth and is priced accordingly; the copper mine closed there recently too (maybe it will become economical to re-open it soon; my friend used to work there)
I always laugh at this graph
Mt Isa has a good airport, train to Townsville, Bunnings, a boatload more going on than Broken Hill economically
$250k houses mate get into it ๐
Albo bringing forward the first home buyer subsidy from Jan 2026 to Oct 2025 screwed me up. Kal prices went up before I was ready to buy. Labor are unbelieveable cunts.
Yes Kalgoorlie is also up at least 10% since around then. Thankfully I got in with my purchase settling in Sep.
Melbourne and Sydney are looking exposed I agree and I think a 5% adjustment looks very likely but as always markets within markets.
The high end is going to suffer, the low end will be fine and still notch up some modest positive growth. Middle end probably go sideways to slightly down.
The issue is demand is still infinite, supply is going to get even worse with building costs through the roof (no pun intended) and completions will start tapering off.
Interest rates do less for housing market prices than what many think, there are many layers to it.
Also rents increasing is a good thing because it helps improve yield which then attracts further investors.
There is just no crash coming.
That has always been true. AU housing is bulletproof unless there’s a substantial unemployment shock. I think that is coming. Robots are going to end much mining and farming employment (and much else). One robot maintainance guy will replace 20 humans. Mining royalties will probably hold up, but at some point the subsidies required to keep the bloated unproductive city populations won’t be enough. There are only so many low productivity economic units you can sustain at 1st world living standards. At that point immigration is slowed, rents crater, rent dependent property investors exit, etc.
If there is an unemployment shock renters that can’t afford the rent have a choice of leaving and paying likely the same elsewhere or finding a way to make it work.
Robotics have a way to go still I think those sort of changes at scale are still 1-2 decades away.
Increasingly pointless jobs will be invented by society to help manage further industry disruption IMO, it will be fine.
Interesting – the ‘conspiracy theory’ around the assassination of JFK and the involvement of the Israeli mafia has been picked up by Nick Fuentes who does a very thorough job of explaining it all:
https://x.com/asukagrypr/status/2047813960209248433
…and as for the accuracy of Nick’s theories, here is Israeli Minister Ben-Gvir’s English translator saying Nick is correct with everything he’s claiming about Israel’s actions:
https://x.com/AutisticClip/status/2047450895638491632
Says it all really, theyโre not even trying to hide it anymore. The greater Israel project is why we are at war with Iran and why theyโve committed genocide in Gaza. They think they are gods chosen people and owed the promised land. So you have to ask what comes next after they take over the Middle East? Will it stop there? ๐ค
Israel is screwed. They’re on a clock and they know it, hence why they’re throwing everything behind this “all on black” Iran gambit. But they’ve really messed with the wrong people this time and it doesn’t seem to be working.
https://youtu.be/mk4vcHtawSo
They havenโt messed with the wrong people, they donโt want Iran, they want America out of the Middle East, to weaken Iran in the process and to control the oil. This is exactly what I mean when I say they arenโt even trying to hide it anymore.
If you have time give this video a watch. Way better explanation than I can type out here. Pay particular attention to 48min mark.
not sure you got this roight.
The Juice guy is just the Chihuahua like the man with a woman’s name (Lindsey Graham), all bark, no bite and barely some sense.
They need Iran to be subjugated and servile for their professed goal. Without meak and weak Iran, the whole ‘control the ME’ shtick becomes stillborn.
Iran is winning this war so far massively and Trump may need to pull back after the 60 days excursion, which if happens leaves the Chosen Ones naked bent over a chair next to a bucket of vaseline. Iran knows Juice have nukes so a standoff between the two produces a long truce. Truce, not peace.
They’ve messed with the wrong people. My take is they had intention to decapitate the Persian Hydra… not the way to kill it. Game Over.
Nick Fuentes is damned impressive. He’s only 27.
Yeah – I don’t deliberately listen to him, I find his shtick to be a bit annoying in anything other than small doses. but I can put that aside on occasions when he mainlines a particular topic that the media has been dancing around, or deliberately calls out.
Fuentes was one of the only guys on the right – who had previously been a strong supporter of Trump, to swing 180 degrees and call him out for what he is – a Stooge of Israel.
So quodos to him for making that call – even though I think Biden or Karmela would have done more damage, especially with immigration making the problem more intractable like Australia’s, he called a bullseye on what came to pass.
I spent the morning shooting with my mates, some of whom are ex diggers like me.
Like me, they all despise the welcome to country bullshit, but they were critical of some bloke who booed the welcome to country at the Melbourne (I think) dawn service. They said that moment is not the time and place to be engaging in political protest.
I agreed with them, but also pointed out that the welcome to country bullshit is also political protest, imposed upon a sacred moment over the last few years. There were decades of dawn services without welcomes to country, and now we have controversual indigenous protest embedded into to the ceremony.
They were a bit taken aback at first, and then agreed with me. If there was no welcome to country, there’d be no booing.
I fucking loathe and hate the welcome to country shit with all my heart.
Your mates are fags. Like you. What did you do kill a little bunny rabbit?
Please go away.
the NSN were behind the booing last time i think this time it was probably them too
More than just them IMO.
I think there are many veterens who could be persuaded as you persuaded those guys. I think it should be possible to get enough of them together to organise an alternative ANZAC day at the same memorial locations on a different day of the ANZAC weekend.
The people of our nation need to understand that we are being replaced. The institutions descending from the ones we grew up are the same only in name and in the physical assets they control. They do not represent us. They have been subverted and are used undermine us.
We could to start organising a parallel society with parallel institutions, just like the muslims do with their Sharia
courtsnon-binding arbitration panels. You carve out specific geographies by making sure your people are the real estate agents. Outsiders are never shown much, calls not returned, etc. You put your people up as the local candidates for mainstream parties. Bit by bit you take ownership and the host laws cease to matter on your turf. It’s very much like the mafia.We are at war. The longer people go on denying it the harder victory will be.
this stayed in the purgatorium for mistaken identity
Chanting some woke schitt is like a fart in the wind in comparison to an icehead war criminal BRS being invited to an event someplace at GC.
There is literally nothing more degrading to ANZACs than to juxtapose or equate shyte like BRS with ANZACs legacy, topped by McGregor being gaoled for attempting to preserve the spirit of ANZACs untainted.
Rest assured youse win. BRS will be paraded but will be pardoned and exculpated in the kangaroo court, even if thereโs a UHD video of him slaughtering children and 10s of witnesses saying he’s done it many times. The whole process serves to primarily shit allover ANZAC and to give lefties one more perma-source of rage thus to fuel them. This little open space gaol aka ezfka does not punish inmates killing innocent and children. Neither paedophiles.
That’s the whole point of being nonsensical. Because the media and most of the social media is absolutely deliberately nonsensical. So just shit post. Like it or not it’s not about making sense it’s about winning.
Candace Owens out with a video shot taken from behind Charlie Kirk’s assassination:
https://x.com/thematrixb0t/status/2048075296180683191
…and a refresher from an earlier post:
Anyhow, it is an interesting theory and given I believe it is most likely that they have assassinated US Presidents in the past, I wouldn’t put it past them.
The fact that Charlie Kirk had barely finished bleeding out before Netanyahu made public statements denying any Israeli involvement, when people were still going wtf just happened, was kinda strange.
Well I clicked and got told by x that I had to verify my age.
Not doing it.
Disappointed in Musk for this.
He should not kowtow to the petty tyrants in Canberra.
AFAIK, none have actually said F off to the AU gov. Wish they would, just to see how Albo responds.
try this – no need to log in and/or ID verify
https://xcancel.com/thematrixb0t/status/2048075296180683191
Thanks – I used a VPN but I think that one is better
RMBS ETF: the new risk free rate of return?
https://www.vaneck.com.au/etf/income/rmbs/snapshot/
Christ cucks be like I don’t wanna live around niggers then
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fUspLVStPbk&list=RDfUspLVStPbk&start_radio=1
Christ cucks be like I wanna spend $500k educating my children and if he becomes a gym instructor then the entire economy should revolve around gym instructors.
Christ cucks be like I wanna be respectable but I wanna watch MAFs and actually give a fuck about the NRL.
oil market is finally starting to accept reality. this is going to get ugly fast.
Nah. Don’t be a panic merchant.
I used to be a panic merchant, I believed the shit on MB etc. Now? Well…there are roads, and cans will be kicked down them.
I could be wrong, of course. I have been known to be wrong. In which case, I’ll buy you a beverage of your choice. ๐
Yeah they can keep manipulating, they did this with bread prices in WW1 in the UK and it worked until it didn’t but it took some time
but right now nobody is even buying the daily Axios b.s article about now negotiations are going great which was previously suppressing prices prior to market opening every day
The ‘Long Emergency’ has begun.
Related to the Long house (and the long march?)
No – it is the fact that we have past peak oil and that despite all the EV’s, wind turbines and solar panels that have come onto the market since, it still hasn’t reduced our dependence on fossil fuels, rather renewables have simply become a larger portion of still increasing consumption.
Some of the impacts of moving past peak oil and the supply impacting things like fertilizer usage highlight the dependencies that exist out there for fossil fuels that most people still don’t realise.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Long_Emergency
Have we hit peak oil really? I remember discussion about that in 2008 – presumably in the wake of Knustler’s book?
E.g. Australia has masses of untapped shale oil. Plenty of deep sea oil – eg off brazil just getting started. I think I read something about Argentinan oil the other day.
Yes, getting more difficult to extract, but that may only be initially. Once tech is estabilished, manufacturing gets cheap, and it’ll get cheaper faster than ever thanks to increasing ease of automation.
Of course there is a peak oil point somewhen…but maybe it won’t matter by the time it happens.
Global fertility still downtrending. En masse we are done living in crowded cities. They are shit places to raise families, bad for mental health and well being (all else equal). With automation crushing work, there will be even less incentive to raise chidlren. Long term, demand in general, for everything, is going down.
Peak oil production occurred in late 2018 – eight years ago. The theory holds that living standards will immediately start falling and there will be an uptick in global conflictโฆ of course the faster fertility falls means more the more resources will remain for those who inherit the earth.
Oil production has yet to peak:
https://en.macromicro.me/series/3226/global-crude-oil-production
I stand corrected!
Although by the look of the chart it has only done so in the past year – it will be interesting to see if the trend resumes or continues to wobble around these levels.
A few things caught my attention the last few days
Videos of humanoid packing robots in chinese logistics centres while chinese workers already on low pay get laid off. Temu prices stupidly low.AUS Inflation showing no signs of stoppingSydney and Melbourne real estate data continuing to fallBTC firmly above $75kASX falling while S&P500 still risingTone of AFR headlines changed.West ex USA freedoms goingImmigration Vigilante groups forming in UKNo sign of middle east resolutionPrice of beef accellerating in shopsMy gut feeling is that the monkey is about to land its brown projectile on the rotating blades.
S&P500 looking pretty solid actually (as Peachy said). BTC also. Gold holding up too.
I have been thinking about defensive equipment for home use. Might also start a food stockpile.
That wall of text paragraph was a numbered list. No idea what happened.
@DictatorDavid…here is that indicator you were talking about further up showing signs of life:
https://www.afr.com/rear-window/the-property-selling-mps-getting-ahead-of-cgt-changes-20260430-p5zslq
Claude not required.
Things could be going to start getting spicy especially with the government fiddling with cgt and negative gearing. We all know they never get these things right.
I took a 40% profit in zip yesterday (thanks Peachy from the Covid days) and Iโm only holding a couple of speculative rare earth miners on asx. The rest of my money is in other markets and fx. Asx is definitely looking shaky.
Also I see the Australian media has gone very quiet about fuel. The fuel tracking websites have also been getting updated less with less reliable data. Looking at diesel thereโs 23 days left and only a handful of ships due after next week. Considering a tanker travels at the speed of a bicycle I think restrictions will ramp up in next couple of weeks with no end in sight. Think about all the ranger driving tradies that are going to be angry if they canโt work and a loaf of bread costs $20.
The stock market is the savings account market at this point it doesnt reflect economic fundamentals at all
“Vigilante groups forming in UK”
I hope that these vigilante groups also have judges and politicians in their cross hairs… they really need to be relived of the parts of their brain that they aren’t using.
It shouldn’t be that hard to perform, I mean if stone age Aztecs could do it, I’m sure a motivated lay white man could easily master it.
It was specifically “Immigration Vigilante groups forming in UK” . Formatting screw up.
A lobtomy. Yet your church encourages infinity people.
Um… wrong.
It’s the telly that encourages infinite people but assassination of families.
Church (well most of them) says if a bonk creates another idiot, it should not be killed
Oddly I agree.
Text reformat:
My gut feeling is that the monkey is about to land its brown projectile on the rotating blades.
The fuel price has been the best in about 2 months. You guys are such faggot larpers. I guess you need to justify the $100 you spent on the baked beans in your closet. Or to get your little ching chong wife and fuck off to Thailand and pretend it’s based.
๐ hahaha thatโs the best youโve got. Thanks for the laugh. I stopped replying to you because youโre literally too much of a dumb fuck. Iโm not the only one that thinks it to going off all the downvotes youโve got in this thread.
you are one sad little bitter cunt.
Fuel price is great near me larp on fag. I await your great sex tourist Hitler.
Would Hitler have been a sex tourist. That would make for a good documentary.
Go take photos of the servo sign for us then and post it
Petrolspy shitdick.
What’s funny is old ass Australians thinking their shitty little follows and replies matter. Lol you haven’t mattered since the 90s. If that. Get a clue. Wankers.
If these conversations are worthless to you, and you are participating, then it follows that your own time, and hence life, is worthless to you.
Also, I can’t speak for others, but I’m not hear to “matter”. I’m here to exchange ideas and debate. This helps me sharpen my wits and consider things I wouldn’t have otherwise considered, and it’s worth doing because the other people have something worthwhile to say. And you sometimes do too. It’s been a while though.
Ok, you should not be mentally be bogged down by the classics. Whether they be jewy or ye olde. You’re competing with pretty much literal insects.
Way too much is implied here.
Most will say it’s too cryptic and lesser minds will call it gibberish.
Don’t intend to be patronising, perhaps tone down the implied bit a notch or two.
Ok just compete with insects then they aren’t thinking at all.
Logically incorrect.
Do you know why?
Looks like one nation is being subverted.
https://www.noticer.news/one-nation-candidate-immigration-not-too-high/
Or maybe it was a cuckoo’s egg all along?
Kind of like being a wog. You ain’t gonna make it in Napoli so you gotta go to the Bronx or Leichhardt. Gabadagooli.
Maybe the abos were wogs. Similar way of speaking.
Abos are originally Wogs who could not stand other wogs so they took a long way westwards… until they run out of land
You know pasta is Wogs’ attempt at Chinese noodles? Marco Polo…
yes, but we introduced a fork, and a spoon, and a knoife.
All whilst Island Baboons used fingers
Also you know Machievelli made modern politics.
interestingly I read something on Machiavelli recently.
Contrary to popular belief, his writings are not a form of a user manual or an advice from experience but rather an observation of the society around him, which he despised.
Fluck me, I wish to be in your mind for 5 minutes.
It would make Keith Richards’ lifetime experience be like a mere sugar hit on a kid.
Gave you a plus.
Sri Lankans and the Welsh speak similarly too.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WwYAuvBcQ1Y
Also the Hungarians are more closely related to the Finnish, sort of Islands among the Euros. From the Ural mountains.
Euros and poos all come from Ukraine. Therefore you’re a poo.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indo-European_migrations
Huns spawned Fins and Magyars…
I’m a Poo?
It could be worse, if I were a youse type.
You’re in the convict country slut. We ain’t in yours.
Wrong.
This open air prison is Wardens Cuntry.
Youse are the only convicts who claim to “own” the prison.
Twins. The man they thought was their father, isn’t.
Not only that, they have two different fathers, due to their mother having unprotected sex with two different men while in her fertile window.
I read this and almost gagged.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/05/02/first-uk-case-of-twins-with-different-fathers-revealed/?WT.mc_id=e_DM915005&WT.tsrc=email&etype=Edi_FTE_New_Sub&utmsource=email&utm_medium=Edi_FTE_New_Sub20260502&utm_campaign=DM915005
Britain really was blessed by postwar immigration from the Comminwealth.
That’s because white people don’t carry on like rutting chimps.
There is a hypothesis that ovulation is not fully concealed in African populations – which judging by videos I’ve seen of African chicks twerking like gorillas on heat, that would not surprise me.
Don’t make out white people are morally superior. There are plenty of white sluts around.
IMO the biggest mistake euorpean racists, including Hilter, made was to try to claim and even prove that they were inherently superior to other races. It’s still the number one strawn man for anti-racist attack. It’s not necessary. Be racist because they are your people, not because they are superior people. If your race preference includes a claim of supposed superiority, you’re not actually racist. You’re meritist.
There’s hope for you.
Yeah nah, I’m done pretending that African Blacks are the same as us, they’re not.
But are we better than them? We are different and better in this sense is a subjective value, so other people’s values are as valid as my own.
But in terms of my personal preference of attributes, yes I prefer to be around whites because my life experiences when surrounded by them is better than when surrounded by blacks…. the fact that so many want to move here to live amongst us, might actually suggest deep down they think the same.
They have missed out on the strong genetic selection that white people and east asians have experienced over the past 10,000 years, as a a consequence are lower in honesty, lower in IQ, higher in propensity for personal violence, as well as having higher levels of mental illness.
Also:
These rates are comparable in STD rates in their populations where ever they are found in every other western nation (rates are higher in Africa)… so I will stand by my comment in regards to them carrying on like rutting chimps…. if STD’s are a proxy for sluttiness, then yes, they are 10 times more slutty than white chicks.
This isn’t a new opinion, I’ve basically held the same views for a fair while now:
They are not like us, and they do not belong in our societies other than in isolated numbers on a case by case basis.
The claims attributed to Hitler in terms of him believing in Germans being the “Master Race” that’s all mainly bullshit.
Hitler was far less racist than myself – he both congratulated Jesse Owens (not at the stadium), and provided Owens with an autographed medallion celebrating his victory AND shook hands with him congratulating him at a ceremony afterwardsโฆ. in fact the only leader who refused to congratulate Jesse Owens and shake his hand, was the US president Franklin D Roosevelt, who had all the US Olympic team winners, except the black sportsmen, to the White House to celebrate their Olympic triumph. After winning the Gold medal, Jesse Owen went out drinking at German bars – with white people, something he couldn’t do in most states back in the US.
The claims of Hitler celebrating being the “Master Race” is a deliberate mistranslation of his words in Mein Kampf by the usual suspects – it was never used during the time of the Third Reich.
Herrenvolk – “Gentlemen People” was deliberately mistranslated into English as “Master Race” with all the racist connotations that go along with it.
The correct definition of the word merely implied that the German was master of himself and his own country. He was independent, he possessed selbstbeherrschung meaning “self-control”. He was herr der lage, or “master of the situation”. He was herr im haus, which meant “master of his house”.
They were their own masters.
Not like us Aussies though, as the past 12 months has quite clearly shown, the masters of our house are Zionist lobbyists and through them, Israel.
Gunnamatta!
You’re finally here?
Plenty of food for thought, but you haven’t addressed my main points which are:
and that
claiming superiority is not necessary because if you’re racist your people’s main value is shared ancestry.
I’m not saying your arguments about about white superiority are wrong. They’re actually interesting. What I’m saying they are irrelevant to being racist and potentially weaken the cohesion of the race if they become too dominant. In extremis, meritism leads to the kind of brutally rigid class structures that led in turn to the revolutions that ushered in the modern age, which in turn is the source of the ideological garbage we now call leftism.
Jews stick together because they are Jews. The Japanese stick together because they are Japanese. No doubt they accentuate among themselves the strengths of their own and exaggerate the weaknesses of others. That’s normal racism. It is normal because it is of net benefit to the group and its members.
What’s evil is meritism because it replaces race with ideology, and eventually, living flesh with engineering. Not because it has identified correctly weighted superior characteristics but because it hasn’t but thinks it has. There is no sufficiently complete inventory of race, class or other other human traits sufficient to base a judgement on. By all means, make the argument, stick up for your people, but don’t get too carried away. It’s not mathematics.
In fact the Africans are superior right now because they are breeding while we are a dying race.
They are certainly superior in terms of breeding when all their problems are solved for them by the rest of the world.
I’d agree that unfettered meritism can be just as detrimental as unfettered racism to a society, as an ideology its apparent reasonableness is the camel’s nose that has resulted in many other ‘isms being introduced into Australia, and the root cause behind many problems we face today.
Yeah, sure thing, and the Sun revolves around the Earth.
What an ignorant moron.
edit:
I’m now angry, so angry. You’ve made me so angry, pinky promise.
Fucking a negress and picking up a STD like syphilis would explain a large portion of the gibberish you churn out.
Damn it, this coming from a simpleton moron on internet is so insulting I’m now angry. Reaaaaal angry. So angry I’ll have to break something. I’ll break the eggs carton roight now!
Damn you for making me so angry.
Seriously, I AM angry.
You have such an x-ray vision trough anyone who says you are a simpleton hater, Nostradamus must be scared shitless for his legacy.
What a moron.
As they say, once you go black you never come back, eh?
Ever banged a negro woman* ?
โโโโโโโ
* or any other woman whom was not unconscious, screaming for life and/or had two black eyes.
Married 23yrs and going strong!
So… a regular black eyes it is…
Not every relationship is like your parents.
Sure champ, that’s why I abuse women at any opportunity,
particularly when they are smarter than me and “deserve it”,
and you don’t, like you passed on Peachy demanding you deservedly abuse her…
Oh wait, it was the other way round.
Pathetic moron.
Wooo I got “champed”
It is always such a pleasure when you break character with your gibberish, it is the best tell.
๐
I don’t think this has not happened before, but superfecation is extremely rare in humans. happens all the time with other species ie cats
Rubbish.
Didn’t you hear Spewie spew the indisputable explanation: it’s because they’re negroes!?
Correct.
See, if you listen to me you will be less wrong.
Sheeeeet… I’m wrong!
Thx, you’re such a peach!
Noice!
The thing is, Spewie Stewstein, your hate spew is not even wrong (and is even less right)… Just a mere hate drivel.
So they fuck like alley cats?
It’s gross.
If you check the alimony laws in Aus, women are heavily stimulated to copulate with as many men as humanely possible.
Edit:
Youse voted for this, preferentially or otherwise
White people festival
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=IOANQJIkfr0#
Fabulous.
We’ve lost so much.
Most of history’s combat revolves around the boring old spear.
https://archive.md/ciYLh
Therefore history is boring and gay and it should only count from 1984.
Never miss a chance to impose penalties. A pinnacle of the convict culture.
Because regulating prices (like every other non-banana country) would be silly and who wants servos to compete for customers.
Edit: link insertion
What’s common to Cambodia, Paraguay, Laos, Panama, Trinidad and Tobago, Kazakhstan, Honduras, Armenia, Uganda?
They all have by far greater economic complexity index than the Lucky Cuntry.
Farken Albania, the donkeystan of Europe, has twice better ECI than this little pedo land.
Youse will be flucked, with or without immos.
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/economic-complexity-by-country
I don’t think these mean that much, they’re a measure of a countries export profile, not their economy overall. australia has hyper-scaled supermarkets with high tech theft prevention technology and RFID, just in time logistics, automated warehouses etc just as an example while uganda has roadside shacks selling watermelons but that doesnt count as differential “economic complexity” by the standard of that scale.
Yeah. It is, how do you say…..a load of shit.
๐
You’re becoming funny… close, but no cigar yet.
Truck of Indians.
I think I’ll borrow that. ๐
Why would you borrow a truck of Indians???
Yes, ECI by itself is a snapshot of a particular moment and not overly important. Same like nominal GDP at any given time – it indicates a value at that moment.
What matters is the ECI trends and index compounding (COI) which indicate a country’s economic resilience and prospects for growth.
To put it in a perspective, it indicates if youse arse will take the shape of a ching chong dick when the only thing left in town is dirt digging.
Economic complexity in an age of money printing coomunism . Lel.
true.
https://x.com/NoticerNews/status/2051148355133411726
The matriarchy hates people who hurt other people’s feelings.
You’re Spewing again some random confirmation bias shyte from X?
Oh you read it – excellent.
Here’s another article since you love stories about pedophiles (for some reason)
https://www.noticer.news/african-refugee-sex-offender-spared-deportation/
With such a shyte logic no wonder you’re always coming to shyte conclusions.
What a moron. It is youse types who made such laws, to keep rapists locally.
Abos recently showed their moral and ethical superiority to youse types by demanding themselves be the judge and the swift executioner to a child molester near Alice. When youse types show such outrage with the children rape perhaps only then you can talk of others having a lower iq
Nah Jews are responsible for that.
if you read the article youโll note the thing that kept him in Australia was appealing to the AAT – the Administrative Appeals Tribunal.
This abomination was a inflicted on Australians after much lobbying by jews so our immigration laws could be overturned by a tribunal that gets packed with jews and other undesirable endogamous ethnic groups who are more worried about a single member of their disgusting communities being deported than any of the crimes they may have committed.
You’re such a Peach for offering but I’ll leave that to lesser minds.
No matter who lobbied, in convict culture there is omnipresent proof of absence of abhorrence by a child rape.
You would not notice this if it was the ye-olde descendant of a hooker who raped the niece. Throw in a negro into a story and your eyes begin to glitter.
Dear Diary,
Once again that evil Spewy Stewy Stewstein posted some rubbish to the forum about foreign pedophiles – it made me so angry!
I used the opportunity to once again surrupticiously remind him that I hold him accountable for driving my beloved Peachy away, by using “Peachy” as adjective I doubt he will pick up on it though – I am ever so clever.
Sorry numb nuts, but the Peach was in here the other day and even posted an article…. surely you remember, she actually liked and responded to one of your comments. You should print it out and put it on your wall beside your bed.
Noice.
Remind me if ever a woman, any woman, even a transvestite, responds to any of your comments without a despise or abhorrence.
But man, I sure I am so angry by your gibberish and hate Spewiengs. Please stop. I am, it is so obvious. Pinky promise.
https://www.ezfka.com/2025/11/09/are-we-dead-yet/#comment-72603
Noice.
Is this the Cosmic Princes?
We believe that this is not your alias.
We all believe.
Pinky promise
Dear Diary,
Stinky Spewy Stewy Stewstein thinks he got one over me – I challenged him to find a single woman who ever gave him any praise, and he provide a link to a comment that he must have made himself.
I know I am right about this because firstly I am never wrong, and secondly I have such a keen insight into the thinking of all women that it is impossible that any woman could ever agree with anything he says.
But don’t worry, I called him out and said he was lying and then posted a photo of his avatar in a dress – I am sure that will make him seethe.
๐
Oh, I know women agree with you.
It may take some arguments, like black eyes, but eventually they agree, eh?
Drawing on childhood memories of your mother’s black eyes are you? Not every relationship was like your parents.
I almost threw my phone across the room when I read that shit.
Yeah – I had to put the phone down last night too when I came across that rapey retarded African not being deported after raping his niece because it would mean heโd be cut from the NDIS.
https://t.me/thespreadeagle/92942
As people – as government
I think there should be some sort of semi luddite movement I don’t think we’re getting sufficiently adequate improvements in our lives out of tech.
A bit like nuclear…shit.
Thanks.
This sentiment will grow and grow, I think. Refer to the unabomber manifesto. Those who dismiss all who are opposed to new tech as ignoramouses (” luddites”) will find themselves underestimating the opposition to the eclipse of life by engineering, especially in an environment where population pressures are receeding.
Ok Youse cunce…careful what you say here in this online chat group. We don’t want to be espousing hate or stirring up racial division now do we? FFS ๐
https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1BfvfsRjrT/
If anybody from a three or four letter agency is listening, personally, I โค๏ธ ASIO, Burgess is the smartest man alive, and sucking Albo’s tiny, shrivelled, flaccid wiener is my greatest ambition in life.
Also, everybody in the country knows that it’s the fucking muslims.
Compared to some of the chats I’ve been in, this forum is very milquetoast.
Is it utterly utterly dumb-dumb (or was it dum-dum?) to post a link which directly points to a name and even a profession of a product manager in a place which was reduced to a cesspool of haters and supremacists?
Next time perhaps Patch that link to remove the personalisation.
Actually….it was wogs that invented the word youse.
I thought it was this mob who invented it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gLN3QoN-q8
Oh yes the denigration of the farmers who are literally the most important people in society and gee wogs haven’t been fond of bum sex throughout the ages.
Geez you’re like playing Galaga as a kid in the 80s.
Fun fact: I’ve never had bum sex. I’ve actually never directly touched my bum hole.
But all due respect I know bum sex is important to your culture.
People aren’t becoming RAM drivers no more.
https://www.news.com.au/technology/motoring/motoring-news/aussies-dump-utes-in-brutal-sales-crash/news-story/411699b65e74f4155c31316c452d65d9
>Then thereโs the Toyota LandCruiser (-75.9 per cent)
I like the new Landcruisers but I probably wouldn’t get one myself because I can’t afford it and I don’t need to drive through rivers.
Article is less than an opinion, a narrative peddling at best.
There’s this incestuous relationship between convicts* and utes which will make sales never extinguish. Besides, if you buy a ute, the loss of value is significantly lesser than even a Camry or a Corolla.
* including most wogs and most of those who are descendants of immigrants preceding 1980’s – back to the time of one Arthur Philip, a sheep commander
It’s just stats. I get you’re really pissed at convicts because they gave you a wedgy.
At my school they used to ‘dack’ people you went behind them then took their pants down one time a guys penis was shown. The idea is to show them in their dacks not what was beneath their dacks.
Fly in your ointment be like:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fGsY2EVUQYc&list=RDfGsY2EVUQYc&start_radio=1
War only happened because there was no silicon chip and everyone was bored. Prove. Me. Wrong.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fGsY2EVUQYc&list=RDfGsY2EVUQYc&start_radio=1
Sorry I meant the Odyseey one soz.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mzw2ttJD2qQ
Odyssey be like some wogs fought some wogs so fuckin what we say is massively important.